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美聯儲在周三(當地時間1月31日下午)的會議上如期維持利率不變,但在其政策聲明中去除了進一步加息的措辭,表明可能在未來幾個月降息。然而,美聯儲並未暗示即將降息,其主席鮑威爾的講話顯示出鷹派立場,導致金價回吐早盤漲幅,美國股市大幅下跌。

鮑威爾明確表示,3月降息並不是決策者的基線情境。美聯儲聲明中提到,通脹儘管有所緩解,但仍處於高位,決策者仍高度關注通脹風險。美聯儲的決策者預計,今年將累計降息75個基點,但在有更多資料顯示通脹持續下行之前,他們不願就首次降息時間做出承諾。

市場分析師對美聯儲的聲明和鮑威爾的講話表示,美聯儲並不急於像市場預期的那樣迅速放鬆貨幣政策,需要看到更加有把握的通脹資料,才能啟動首次降息。這對預計最早將於3月開始降息的投資者來說是一個打擊。

現貨黃金和美國股市的反應表明了市場對美聯儲政策的靈敏度。在外匯市場,美元指數也體現了這種不確定性,周三探底回升,表明市場對降息預期的重新評估。

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外匯交易涉及高風險,可能不適合所有投資者。本資訊僅供參考,不構成投資建議。在進行外匯交易前,請諮詢財務顧問,評估您的投資目標和風險承受能力。在外匯市場交易時,可能會損失超過初始投資。

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During the meeting on Wednesday (local time January 31st afternoon), the Federal Reserve maintained the interest rates unchanged as expected but removed the language about further rate hikes from its policy statement, indicating the possibility of a rate cut in the coming months. However, the Fed did not suggest an imminent rate cut, and Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone led to a drop in gold prices and a significant decline in the U.S. stock market.

Powell clearly stated that a rate cut in March is not the baseline scenario for policymakers. The Fed’s statement noted that although inflation has eased, it remains high, and policymakers are still highly concerned about inflation risks. The Fed’s policymakers anticipate a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points this year but are not willing to commit to the timing of the first rate cut until more data indicates a continued downward trend in inflation.

Market analysts suggest that the Fed is not in a hurry to loosen monetary policy as quickly as the market expected, needing more conclusive data on inflation before initiating the first rate cut. This stance is a setback for investors who expected the rate cuts to begin as early as March.

The reactions of spot gold and the U.S. stock market reflect the market’s sensitivity to the Fed’s policy. In the forex market, the U.S. Dollar Index also showed this uncertainty, rebounding from its lows on Wednesday, indicating a market reassessment of the rate cut expectations.

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Forex trading involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Before engaging in forex trading, consult a financial advisor to assess your investment goals and risk tolerance. Trading in the forex market may result in losses exceeding the initial investment.

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