香港楼市跌势加剧 专家建议“忍痛割爱”

移民潮、经济萎缩、外围加息等因素导致香港楼市大跌。代表香港楼价走势的中原城市领先指数连跌六周,跌至162.31点,创五年来的新低。中原集团创办人施永青撰文指,楼市跌势加剧,预计全年可跌两成。香港有线财经台前台长、时评人颜宝刚亦认同楼市跌势正在加剧。他奉劝卖楼移民的港人能卖则卖,拖到最后楼价只会越来越便宜。

施永青表示,以目前中原城市领先指数(162.31点),对比去年八月历史高位的191.34点,楼市大跌15.2%;跌穿楼市10%的第一条临界线,正向第二条临界线20%迈进。

施永青还指出,跌10%与跌20%被视为楼市的临界线,跌破20%,则代表一批业主将资不抵债。

如果资不抵债,银行有机会要求贷款人补差额,否则可能会把物业收回强拍。施永青担心,如果这种情况发生,楼价会跌得更急。小业主为减轻债务,可能会选择长痛不如短痛,提前把楼宇卖掉。而这种态势,会产生连锁反应,令楼价的跌势加剧。

日前彭博大篇幅报导香港地产代理浮夸的广告用词,如“欲哭无泪”、“滴血价”、“泪流满面”、“劈得深、爱得真”、“卖楼葬父”、“跌到极麻木”等。彭博形容这是香港地产代理“诉诸绝望”的广告。

时评人颜宝刚形容,香港人过去喜欢买“砖头”,甚至存在“有买贵、无买错”的观念。但是目前投资收租物业的回报率低于两厘,银行加息又增加了供楼的负担,加上物业本身欠流动性,一旦遇上跌市,卖楼可能要打持久战,分分钟会花上数月甚至一年时间。

颜宝刚续道,楼市低迷令一些打算移民卖楼的人陷入两难:想出售就要蚀让,若移居外国后再出售或要支付所在国的资产增值税。他奉劝卖家:楼市跌势已成,买家一心压价,价格只会越压越低,加上内地资金在目前形势下绝不可能调到海外,现在有楼不卖,恐怕未来价格更低。

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